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Arapsko proljeće - 4. val demokratizacije?


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Grgurić, Irena. (2014). Arapsko proljeće - 4. val demokratizacije?. Diploma Thesis. Filozofski fakultet u Zagrebu, Department of Sociology. [mentor Bagić, Dragan].

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This paper analyzes the causes and processes of the Arab Spring with the help of Samuel Huntington's theory of three waves of democratization to determine whether the Arab Spring represents the beginning of a fourth wave of democratization. Huntington's theory is presented, which claims that there have been three waves of democratization during which autocratic regimes were replaced with democratic ones. The emphasis is on the third wave which is characterized as the fall of communism and introduction of democracy to a large number of states in the world; its causes and processes are explained in detail. Next is a short overview of the history of Arab countries, especially of Tunisia and Egypt, as they are considered the only countries with a possibility of democracy in the near future. Furthermore, Arab Spring is described, from the start of revolutions to the most recent events, and analyzed with the help of Huntington's theory. The analysis determined that the Arab Spring could mark the beginning of the fourth wave of democratization, but to confirm the thesis with certainty, it is necessary to wait and see what will be the ultimate outcome of the revolutions. Three years after the revolutions started, neither Tunisia nor Egypt have established democracies and structural problems that were the main cause of the Arab Spring are still not solved.

Item Type: Diploma Thesis
Uncontrolled Keywords: Arab Spring, wave of democratization, autocracy, democracy
Subjects: Sociology
Departments: Department of Sociology
Supervisor: Bagić, Dragan
Date Deposited: 01 Sep 2016 11:44
Last Modified: 01 Sep 2016 11:44

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